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Grand National 2009 - Betting preview (Tuesday, March 31, 2009)
 
Grand National 2009 at Aintree

Betting Preview


It's here, it's finally here. The nation's favourite race is upon us once again as the Grand National comes to town this Saturday at 4.15PM. The race will be held in Liverpool at Aintree and the meeting will start on Thursday and end on Grand National day, Saturday. The aim for most punters will be to accumulate as much money as possible ahead of the big race but the meetings does look present some tricky races to predict so some punters maybe a little short of change come Saturday afternoon.

We will focus all our attention on the big race itself with hope that we can achieve our first ever Grand National winner here at SoccerBetting.info, at the first time of asking. The race is a competitive contest with several horses in with a shout of taking home this year's National crown. There are also a few past Grand National runners in the race looking to make amends for their recent mishaps including Cloudy Lane, Chelsea Harbour, L'ami and Mon Mome. Two interesting horses at tasty odds are previous Grand National winners Comply Or Die and Silver Birch. The latter won this race back in 2007 while Comply Or Die took all the plaudits in last years race so both are after their second Grand National win. Comply Or Die would appear to have the better chance of securing a second national title with the bookies making him a 16/1 shot while Silver Birch is as big as 33/1 with our Irish friends, PaddyPower.

The race itself will mainly be about one man and one man only, and that's the greatest ever jump jockey AP McCoy, as he bids to secure his first ever Grand national win on board current second favourite, Butler's Cabin. He has won everything but a Grand National and has had several failed attempts in recent years. The majority of the nation will be behind him this Saturday but we have doubts over the ability of the horse he has chosen to ride. The Jonjo O'Neill trained horse was very unlucky last time round and will be out for revenge this time round. We can't help but feel his best chance of winning this race was last year, Butler's Cabin that is, not McCoy. The Horse did put in a decent looking run at Cheltenham last time out and is from a top yard so will still have good claims.

The Paul Nicholls yard is in tremendous form right now after securing a hefty amount of prize money back at the Cheltenham meeting, with Kauto Star being his biggest earner winning the Gold Cup. Nicholls has five horses in this race and his most fancied is My Will who will have Ruby Walsh on board. That's a huge positive for any My Will backer with Walsh in superb form right now. The horse has given connections plenty of prize money over the years but this is a big test for the nine year-old but the bookies are wary of his threat and have made him slight favourite for the time being at around 8/1 in general. He has the ability to go close but at 8/1, we can see better value elsewhere.

Another attracting a bit of market support is the Keith Reverely trained horse, Rambling Minster. He is one of the older horses in the race at 11 years-old but two decent wins at Haydock and Cheltenham this year has seen his price fall in recent weeks. He has the stamina to stay the full four mile trip and many will fancy his chances of winning.
The three horses mentioned above are likely to battle it out for the favourite tag but a few lurking just off the favourites are Black Apalachi, Big Fella Thanks, Hear The Echo, Southern Vic, State Of Play and Kilbeggan Lad. They are all around the 16/1 mark and all have an outside chance of winning here. Black Apalachi has already mastered the Aintree fences back in November so he should have very few problems getting around while Hear The Echo is a former Irish Grand National winner so he has the pedigree to win a race of this magnitude.

Southern Vic comes from a yard that won the race back in 2000 with Papilon, so they know what it takes to win this endurance test of a race. State Of Play looks an interesting sort. The Evan William's trained horse already has a Hennessey and a Charlie Hall chase under his belt and is far from a no hoper. One that has caught our eye is Kilbeggan Lad. Trained by Tom Geroge, the horse has already warmed up in nice fashion through the current jump racing calendar winning three races this year. Stamina shouldn't be an issue and providing he jumps well, he could be a huge threat to the more fancied runners.

Unfortunately, there was only bad news coming out of the Mouse Morris yard and that is their decision to remove their horse from the race, just days before the big event. The trainer did claim that War Of Attrition wasn't fit enough to race so he has probably saved the punters a fair few bob. For myself, i found this news disappointing as we highly fancied War OF Attritions chances of winning this years National. Now we have to look elsewhere for a potential 2009 winner and we are left with Evan Williams trained horse - State Of Play. Paul Maloney will take the ride and with this being their only entry in the Grand National, they must highly fancy it's chances of running a huge race. We did lightly touch on State Of Play's recent scalps when he won both the Hennessey and Charlie Hall chases so the horse definitely has quality and with the absence of our personal favourite, we now move onto State Of Play and hope he now gets the job done instead.

The Grand National has always been described as a bit of a lottery as anything can literally happen on the day. Not only is it a slog to get round, but the jumps will test even the finest jumpers out there. The favourite tag will mean nothing once the race gets under way and if you're not a full time Horse racing fanatic, then you might want to look for some value. Especially horses with E/W claims. We have found a few that could spring a surprise at fairly big prices.

Snowy Morning is one of several to try their hand at the Grand National for the second consecutive year. He ran a huge race last season to finish third behind eventual winner Comply Or Die. Many have discounted his chances of bettering that performance but a repeat of that fine run would see him go mighty close and at odds of around 25/1, you can't really go wrong.

Ollie Magern is a huge price at 100/1. There are obvious doubts over whether he can stay the full trip but he will look to take the lead and gain an early advantage. Were a few of the big guns to fall early on, Ollie could be hard to catch. He will have the benefit of seeing every fence before jumping as he will lead the field around but the gamble will be his stamina. An OK 100/1 shot in our opinion.

One that does look tremendous value at a sweet price of 50/1, is Nigel Twiston-Davies trained BattleCry. He is progressive young jumper will plenty of stamina. Ok, he has only won once over fences in his career but he doesn't have to contend with a lot of weight so certainly looks good value for a place. We have a feeling that this race could be won by a biggie, we just hope we get an entertaining race and maybe even a profitable one.

SoccerBetting.info Tips:

State of Play to WIN - 16/1 PaddyPower
Kilbeggan Lad E/W - 20/1 PaddyPower
BattleCry E/W - 50/1 PaddyPower


Good Luck with your Grand National selections, you may well need it!


Current Grand National betting market odds courtesy of PaddyPower

My Will - 8/1
Butler's Cabin - 10/1
Rambling Minster - 10/1
Comply Or Die - 12/1
Black Apalachi - 16/1
Hear The Echo - 16/1
Southern Vic - 16/1
State Of Play - 16/1
Big Fella Thanks - 16/1
Irish Invader - 18/1
L'ami - 20/1
Kilbeggan Blade - 20/1
Darkness - 25/1
Snowy Morning - 25/1
Himalayan Trail - 25/1
Cornish Sett - 25/1
Parsons Legacy - 25/1
Brooklyn Brownie - 25/1
Cloudy lane - 33/1
Silver Birch - 33/1
Kings Advocate - 33/1
Preists leap - 33/1
Golden Flight - 33/1
Maljimar - 33/1

33/1 Bar the rest







paddy power cheltenham

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Posted by soccerbetting.info @ 9:39 AM


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