Burnley Vs Hull City Betting – Saturday 31st October
October 29th, 2009 / Matt
Burnley V Hull City
Kick-off: Saturday 31st October – 15:00 GMT
Venue: Turf Moor
Burnley
League Position: 11th
Recent Form: WLWLL
Burnley’s immaculate home record was left in tatters as Wigan comprehensively beat them 3-1 at Turf Moor last Saturday. The team have been diabolical on the road thus far so fans are hoping their side can produce the goods when called upon at home, something they failed to do last Saturday. However, will their recent and first home setback be the first of many as Owen Coyle becomes a detective this week in a bid to locate and amend all the mistakes that lead to Burnley’s weekend demise.
In all fairness, Burnley didn’t play too bad on Saturday and the 3-1 scoreline wasn’t a fair reflection on what was a very even contest between two attack minded teams on the day. That’s the thing with this Burnley side, though, they can look pretty nifty when going forward but they also look extremely vulnerable when having to back pedal, although that hasn’t really been the case when playing at home, up till now that is.
Wigan Athletic were not only the first side to have beaten Burnley at Turf moor, the likes of Everton & Manchester United have already failed, but they were also the first to score two or more on Burnley soil, although, the signs of previous matches at Turf Moor did indicate that goals from the travelling opponents were coming. The previous two teams to venture into Burnley territory were Sunderland & Birmingham with both managing to break through what was previously an impenetrable Burnley rearguard. Although we never envisaged Wigan scoring three we still weren’t all that surprised to see the Burnley net ripple on more than one occasion as not only were Burnley starting to look a tad weaker at the back but complacency was always going to creep in at some stage and that was certainly the case on Saturday.
Still, the positives from that game was that Burnley haven’t lost their attacking potency, although some form of composure in the final third wouldn’t have gone a miss. Owen Coyle’s men spurred several decent goalscoring chances in the second half which could have altered the game significantly. However, the big negative was the injury to their number 1 goalie, Brian Jensen, formerly known as the ‘Beast’. He has been just that for Burnley this season, a beast, especially at home where he gets most of his support. If he does miss this game, which does look likely, then we could easily foresee Hull scoring on Saturday, which is terrible to hear considering that Hull aren’t far off being complete tosh.
Hull City
League Position: 18th
Recent Form: LLWLD
Phil Brown will eye this fixture as one his side is certainly capable of getting something positive out of, hopefully in the form of all three points as points is what Hull City desperately crave and need right now. After playing out one of the fullest 0-0 games in the entire history of football, Hull still find themselves languishing in the bottom three, although, safety is now just a point away. You maybe thinking that a draw would be an OK result for Hull but that’s not the case. Phil Brown will be eager to dive straight back onto safe ground but that’s only possible if his hapless Hull side win on Saturday at what has been one of the leanest venues in the entire league. Easier said then done it would seem.
The reason why Hull couldn’t jump out of the relegation zone with a point is because of their dreadful goal difference. The Tigers have scored a mere eight goals this season in ten outings, below a goal a game on average, while they’re shipping an embarrassingly high amount of goals at the other end. Thus far, after just ten league fixtures, Hull have already seen their net bulge on 22 occasions, leaving them with a negative goal difference of 14. They posses the worst goal difference in the league and that’s why only a win will do for Hull this Saturday.
Will Hull City get they win they will undoubtedly set out for? Well, they won’t get many easier sides to do it against but the venue is a big stumbling block for me. Oh, and of course, the sheer fact that Hull have been utter tripe this season does contribute to the fact that Burnley look a far better bet. Hull don’t boast an attack which will score plenty of goals, far from it, while their defence leaks more goals then a water through a sieve. At times you could literally drive a bus through Hull’s defence and, instead of Phil Brown licking his lips at the prospect of three easy points, it will be his opposite number digging deep for the knife and fork as Hull appear to be there for the taking right now.
We think we’ve made our point pretty clear about how we feel Hull will fare at the weekend but just to reiterate our stance on how good a punt Burnley are, here’s how Hull have fared on their travels. Hull have been on their travels five times this season, losing four and drawing the remaining one. Two of which were horrific, getting battered by both Liverpool (6-1) & Sunderland (4-1). However, Hull’s away woes haven’t come about just from this season, they in fact stretch back to March of last season. Since then, Hull have been on the road eleven times winning just the once away at Fulham, 1-0. That eleven match run consisted of one win, two draws and eight defeats. Need i say more?!
Head-to-Head (Last 10):
Burnley W: 2 Hull City W: 3 Draws: 1
These two have never met in the Premiership as this is the first season in the top flight for both sides, however, Hull do edge the Head-to-Head counter after some recent clashes in the Championship. The last time these two were at loggerheads was back in the 2007/2008 season. It was the away side, Hull City, who prospered that day in a narrow 1-0 victory. Burnley did win in the previous two home encounters the two season before and they will seek inspiration from those wins ahead of Hull’s imminent arrival on Saturday.
Match Verdict:- Burnley to WIN – 2.05 PaddyPower
Not only do we envisage a home defeat here but we fancy the home side to win pretty comfortably. Burnley were the clear favourites to leave the league with their tail between their legs and, despite their impressive start to the season, they will need to beat sides like Hull, a team who are desperately lacking in form and confidence, if they are to do the equivalent of sticking two fingers up to those who doubted them. Owen Coyle’s men may have lost their 100% record last weekend but we expect them to regain their old home form of old and make an instant return to winning games.
Match Odds:
Burnley – 2.05 PaddyPower
Draw – 3.4 SkyBet
Hull City – 4.2 SkyBet
SoccerBetting Value Tip: Burnley (Half-Time/Full-Time Betting) – 3.25 Bet365
Update: The result of Burnley vs Hull was 2-0 (goals by Alexander (2))
RELATED POSTS

